People Daily

Ruto leads the pack in Ipsos presidency poll

Irene Githinji @gitshee

Deputy President William Ruto is the most likely candidate to succeed President Uhuru Kenyatta in 2022, a new poll by research firm, Ipsos, shows.

The poll released yesterday put Ruto in the lead, with at least 30 per cent of respondents saying they were “completely certain” he is likely to be President. Coming in second was Ruto’s rival, Baringo Senator Gideon Moi (14 per cent) followed by Mombasa Governor Hassan Joho (14 per cent).

Nasa leader Raila Odinga is ranked a distant fourth, also with 14 per cent. According to the poll, 28 per cent of the respondents said Ruto is somewhat likely to become the President, while 21 per cent believe he is not very likely to succeeded Uhuru.

Moi, Joho and Raila tie at 14 per cent as likely candidates for the 2022 presidency. Eight per cent of the respondents said ANC party leader, Musalia Mudavadi is likely to be president while Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka and Machakos Governor Alfred Mutua at with 6 per cent.

Ipsos interviewed more than 3,000 respondents across the country, lead researcher Tom Wolf said when releasing the findings yesterday.

And on the Uhuru-Raila truce, the survey shows the much touted handshake has had no measurable effect, comparing respondents interviewed before and after the event. 80 per cent of the survey was complete before the Uhuru-Raila handshake.

The poll said the President has suffered a minimal decline in his national approval rating, especially among Jubilee supporters, who singled out the biggest challenge the government will face over the next five years as controlling the Opposition.

“Given the level of falling out of the Opposition since completion of the survey, however, it is clearly far too early to conclude that these perceptions will endure,” said Wolf.

At the same time, 57 per cent of the respondents said they did not support Raila’s mock swearing-in on January 30 while 39 per cent approved it. The survey was conducted between March 4 and 12 in 45 counties, with a sample size of 3,579 individual contacts and a sampling error of +/- 2.16 per cent.

Overall, 50 per cent of Kenyans approved President Uhuru’s performance in the last three months, with 40 per cent having a different opinion. It is mostly Jubilee supporters, at 80 per cent, who believed Uhuru was doing well, while 73 per cent of Nasa supporters disapproved it.

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