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Of cocksure, unsure and losing governors

Opinion polls have been more puzzling than informing in recent days. But without an alternative, Kenyans will have to consume the information (with a pinch of salt) until election day (E-Day).

The latest by Infotrak will no doubt lend a spring to the step of some governors but throw cold water on the re-election campaigns of others. Leading the pack of cocksure governor’s are the chairman of the Council of Governors Josephat Nanok, who with 77.7 per cent approval rating according to Infotrak, is perhaps the second most sure politician in the country of retaining his seat.

The surest, of course, is Kimani Ichung’wa, the Kikuyu MP, who is only waiting to be sworn-in because he is unopposed, a rare feat in post-Kanu era politics. Other shoo-in governors, according to Infotrak are Migori’s Okoth Obado (71.9 per cent), Kakamega’s Wycliffe Oparanya (68.3 per cent) and Mombasa’s Hassan Joho (63.2 per cent).

The second category of governors are those who will be biting nails on election day, unsure of how the contest will go. They include Nairobi Governor Evans Kidero who, according to the poll, is neck-and-neck (45 per cent) with his fiercest competitor Senator Mike Sonko.

Independent candidate Peter Kenneth could be the tie breaker! Others on Kidero’s category are Amason Kingi (Kilifi), Ken Lusaka (Bungoma), Martin Wambora (Embu), Peter Munya (Meru) and Jackson Mandago (Uasin Gishu).

Both Munya and Mandago, who are at 42 per cent according to the poll, are facing a stiff challenge from Kiraitu Murungi and Buzeki (Zedekiah Kiprop Bundotich).

Although Kirinyaga Governor Joseph Ndati is running as an independent, with just 3 per cent of support according to Infotrak, it is clear from the poll that he is playing in the junior league.

All eyes are, however, on the main league arena where two hard-boiled women Anne Waiguru, aka Minji, of Jubilee and Martha Karua, aka Ndengu, of Narc Kenya, are facing off.

The poll shows that Minji remains the hot favourite with 55 per cent while Ndengu comes second with 35 per cent. For Karua, she has nine days to close the 20 percentage point gap if she hopes to regain her previous place on top of the political food chain.